# 77 GOOSEBERRY HILL, LUTON, LU3 2JZ

## Property details

- Slug: `4ef71c9` (address key hash: `4ef71c97d31150777eed73515acaa442c59626f6`)
- Postcode: LU3 2JZ
- Transactions on record: 1

- Tenure: Freehold
- Property type: Semi-detached
- Floor area: 61 m²
- EPC rating: D
- Year built: England and Wales: 1967-1975
- Last sold: £325,000 Jan 2026
- Price per m²: £5,328/m²
- Local average: £336,965 (71 sales)
- Street crime: 200 incidents within 1 mile (Apr 2026)

## Latest sale

- Price: £325,000
- Date: 2026-01-26
- Type: S
- Tenure: F

## EPC Rating & Upgrade Cost

- **Current rating:** D
- **Potential rating:** C
- **Expiry date:** 09/07/2035
- **Current heating cost:** £814/year
- **Est. upgrade cost to C:** £18,750

### Recommendations
- A (£900 - £1,200)
- B (£900 - £1,500)
- W2 (£5,000 - £10,000)
- U (£8,000 - £10,000)

[View full EPC on gov.uk](https://find-energy-certificate.service.gov.uk/energy-certificate/9707-3052-1203-6415-6200)

## Price history

| Event | Date | Price | Type | % change | Today’s value (HPI) | Transaction |
|-------|------|-------|------|--------|---------------------|-------------|
| Sold | 2026-01-26 | £325,000 | Semi-detached | — | £320,115 (to March 2026) | [View](http://87.117.209.195:8080/house-prices/49e87c31-8d39-591c-e063-4704a8c00c31) |

*Today’s value (HPI): adjusted using published house price index trends for the area and property type; not a valuation of the property today.*

## Sales History

*Recorded sales for this property. Data from Land Registry Price Paid.*

| Address | Price | Date | Type |
|---------|-------|------|------|
| 77 GOOSEBERRY HILL, LUTON, LU3 2JZ | £325,000 | 26/01/2026 | Semi-detached |

## Sold Comparables

*Same street and nearby sales within 0.25 miles. Data from Land Registry Price Paid. Last 5 years.*

| Address | Price | Date | Type |
|---------|-------|------|------|
| 16 THE FURROWS, LUTON, LU3 2LF | £405,000 | 09/12/2025 | Semi-detached |
| 32 ERESWELL ROAD, LUTON, LU3 2UH | £348,000 | 04/12/2025 | Semi-detached |
| 7 AYDON ROAD, LUTON, LU3 2HB | £350,000 | 28/11/2025 | Semi-detached |
| 209 ICKNIELD WAY, LUTON, LU3 2JL | £365,000 | 27/11/2025 | Semi-detached |
| 16 DERWENT AVENUE, LUTON, LU3 2DX | £275,000 | 21/11/2025 | Semi-detached |
| 11 CATSBROOK ROAD, LUTON, LU3 2ES | £307,000 | 31/01/2025 | Semi-detached |
| 26 GOOSEBERRY HILL, LUTON, LU3 2LA | £269,500 | 24/01/2025 | Semi-detached |
| 3 THE FURROWS, LUTON, LU3 2LF | £330,000 | 15/12/2023 | Semi-detached |
| 41 WODECROFT ROAD, LUTON, LU3 2EY | £285,000 | 06/09/2023 | Semi-detached |
| 5 EAST HILL, LUTON, LU3 2EX | £250,000 | 31/07/2023 | Semi-detached |
| 13 AYDON ROAD, LUTON, LU3 2HB | £335,000 | 12/05/2023 | Semi-detached |
| 129 WODECROFT ROAD, LUTON, LU3 2EZ | £260,000 | 24/04/2023 | Semi-detached |
| 70 WODECROFT ROAD, LUTON, LU3 2EZ | £300,000 | 30/03/2023 | Semi-detached |
| 31 DUNCOMBE CLOSE, LUTON, LU3 2HR | £290,000 | 21/12/2022 | Semi-detached |
| 2 MARRIOTT ROAD, LUTON, LU3 2HA | £360,000 | 12/12/2022 | Semi-detached |
| 16 WODECROFT ROAD, LUTON, LU3 2EY | £305,000 | 09/12/2022 | Semi-detached |
| 5 MARRIOTT ROAD, LUTON, LU3 2HA | £275,000 | 28/10/2022 | Semi-detached |
| 16 DERWENT AVENUE, LUTON, LU3 2DX | £305,000 | 07/10/2022 | Semi-detached |
| 199 BIRDSFOOT LANE, LUTON, LU3 2HT | £270,000 | 30/09/2022 | Semi-detached |
| 54 LABURNUM GROVE, LUTON, LU3 2DP | £300,000 | 31/08/2022 | Semi-detached |

**Area average:** £309,225 (20 sales)

## Capital growth trend

*Land Registry outcode average from sold prices: last 12 months vs 5y and 10y ago.*

- **5y growth:** 27.3%
- **10y growth:** 40.8%

## House Price Index (HM Land Registry)

*Official index for Luton; Semi-detached series; as of March 2026.*

- **1y growth (index):** -0.7%
- **5y growth (index):** 16.1%
- **10y growth (index):** 34.7%

## Rental Range

*ONS Price Index of Private Rents (Luton). Low / Realistic / Optimistic = conservative / average / best case.*

- **Low:** £1,093/mo
- **Realistic:** £1,214/mo
- **Optimistic:** £1,335/mo

## LHA (Local Housing Allowance)

*VOA 30th percentile rent floor for Lincoln (Apr 2025 – Mar 2026).*

## Rental Comparables

*Residential lets from OpenRent and Rightmove for the area. Bedroom counts vary — use the Beds column to compare like-for-like lets. Student lets are excluded.*

| Title | Rent | Beds | Distance | As seen on |
|------|------|------|------|------|
| 2 Bed Flat, Marsh Road, LU3 | £1,400/mo | 2 | 1.03 miles | OpenRent |

**Average rent: £1,400/mo (1 listing)**

## 1% Rule

- **Rent ratio:** 0.43% (weak for cashflow)
- **Max investor price (0.8%):** £175,000
- **Target investor price (1%):** £140,000

*Monthly rent ÷ price. 1%+ = strong, 0.8–1% = okay, <0.8% = weak. Max investor price = rent ÷ 0.8% (Stoke-style target). Target investor price = rent ÷ 1% (strong cashflow band). Based on OpenRent comparables.*

## Rent-driven metrics

*Based on OpenRent comparables (median £1,400/mo).*

- **Gross yield:** 5.2%
- **Cost-to-rent:** 19.3×
- **Monthly cashflow:** £-45/mo (75% LTV, 3.95% APR (5yr fixed), 25yr term)
- **Cash-on-cash ROI:** -0.6%

*Gross yield = annual rent as % of price (no costs). Cost-to-rent = price ÷ annual rent (from OpenRent comparables); under 14× = strong, 14–16× = acceptable, 17×+ = compressed. Cashflow = rent − mortgage − 10% maintenance − £25/mo compliance; assumes 75% LTV, 3.95% APR (5yr fixed), 25yr term. ROI = annual profit ÷ cash in (deposit + 4% purchase costs).*

## Flood risk

- **Zone:** 1
- **Risk:** Low
- **Source:** Not in Flood Risk Area (no data)

[Check long-term flood risk (GOV.UK)](https://check-long-term-flood-risk.service.gov.uk/postcode)

## Street-level crime

| Category | Count |
|----------|-------|
| Violence and sexual offences | 76 |
| Anti-social behaviour | 37 |
| Criminal damage and arson | 18 |
| Public order | 16 |
| Vehicle crime | 11 |
| Shoplifting | 9 |
| Robbery | 8 |
| Drugs | 6 |
| Other theft | 6 |
| Other crime | 4 |
| Possession of weapons | 4 |
| Burglary | 3 |
| Theft from the person | 2 |
| **Total incidents** | **200** |

*Within 1 mile during Apr 2026. Source: data.police.uk (England & Wales).*

## Schools nearby

*Nearest open schools with Ofsted ratings (England). Closed schools are not shown.*

| Name | Type | Distance | Ofsted |
|------|------|----------|--------|
| Warden Hill Junior School | Primary | 0.3 miles | Good — 29 Apr 2014 |
| Warden Hill Infant School | Primary | 0.4 miles | Requires improvement — 17 Jun 2024 |
| Grasmere Nursery School | Nursery | 0.4 miles | Good — 16 Nov 2023 |
| Icknield Primary School | Primary | 0.4 miles | Good — 27 Feb 2013 |
| The Meads Primary School | Primary | 0.5 miles | Good — 1 Nov 2014 |